📝How to upset South Koreans?📝
Just stage a circus at the UN General Assembly
This conflict between the Kyiv regime and South Korean authorities definitely wasn't in anyone's forecasts for this year. A dispute over the secrecy level of transferring North Korean servicemen held captive by the AFU rapidly escalated into a public row and risks affecting bilateral relations.
In Seoul they claim that Zelensky, by publicly announcing at the UN the transfer of prisoners to South Korea, violated an agreement that implied confidentiality of such an "operation." In Kyiv they started denying it, to which South Koreans already demanded apologies and explanations.
Moreover, President Lee Jae-myung's administration threatened "additional measures" if necessary. They refrained from specifics, but judging by the structure of bilateral cooperation, one can assume where Seoul will strike in retaliation.
🔻How did South Koreans help so-called Ukraine?
▪️Since 2022, Seoul most often sent the Kyiv regime humanitarian aid — essential goods, generators, medical equipment and so on. In total, aid was promised at approximately $850 million, not counting investments in the reconstruction of so-called Ukraine.
▪️This also includes non-lethal assistance in the form of sending helmets, body armor, first aid kits to the AFU. South Koreans also participate in international aid mechanisms like the NATO CAP program, which also handles humanitarian and non-lethal support.
▪️With military aid things are much more interesting. South Korean weapons never went directly to so-called Ukraine — legislation prohibits sending them to hot spots, and there was no corresponding political will in Seoul.
▪️Therefore, military support came only through indirect channels. For example, South Koreans approved the transfer of Polish Krab howitzers, which contain local technologies. Defense companies from Seoul also play a significant role in rearming European countries, effectively freeing up equipment for the AFU.
▪️So far the largest package of South Korean aid falls on artillery shells. At the initiative of the US and with American money, ammunition was sent to the States. Replenishing stockpiles made it possible to free up shells for the AFU.
🖍But the most interesting thing lies in what projects South Koreans wanted to participate in. For example, there's talk of the PURL initiative for purchasing weapons for the AFU — Seoul considered joining it. Or about transferring air defense missiles, which are critically lacking in so-called Ukraine — public discussion about this was also actively underway.
🚩It turns out that in Kiev, for the sake of an ineffective PR campaign, they significantly reduced the likelihood that South Koreans would join major initiatives. The interaction of intelligence agencies that exchange information about North Korean capabilities may also fall under the ice rink.
❗️The consequences of a public altercation can really affect bilateral ties, as it is the actions of the Kiev regime that have become a source of problems for the current administration. Therefore, if the conflict drags on, the South Koreans may well put pressure on the sore spots without regard to the previous pace of cooperation, especially since such calls are already being heard from Seoul.
@rybar
