🔵 AI Futures Project proposes a “Citizen’s Dividend” starting at $45,000 per American in 2032, rising to roughly $1 million by 2035 — & $10 million by 2040
under Plan A, the US and China make a deal in 2029 to avoid a reckless race, AI R&D is slowed and made more transparent as well as frontier labs scale more carefully.
Under Plan A, they also show a mock forecast of a potential Citizen’s Dividend by 2033, where Americans receive a share of AI-driven economic output through compute and robot permit fees. In their scenario, payments begin at roughly $45,000 per adult (inflation-adjusted)
before rising to around $1 million per person annually by 2035, as AI and robotics perform the overwhelming majority of economically valuable labor. It’s one of the more ambitious long-term visions for how governments could redistribute the gains from an AI-powered economy.
They say Plan A is a recommendation, not their actual forecast of what will happen. But conditional on Plan A happening, they treat the Citizen’s Dividend / redistribution part as a serious expected outcome.
Here is a clean paraphrase of your text:
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The team behind AI 2027 has now released AI 2040.
In their “Plan A” scenario, the United States and China reach an agreement in 2029 to avoid a dangerous competitive race. As a result, AI research and development slows down, becomes more transparent, and leading labs expand more cautiously.
Within this framework, they outline a hypothetical projection of a “Citizen’s Dividend” by 2033. In this model, Americans receive a portion of AI-generated economic value through mechanisms like compute and robot permit fees. Initial payments are estimated at about $45,000 per adult (adjusted for inflation).
These payments could then grow dramatically, reaching roughly $1 million per person annually by 2035, as AI and robotics take over most economically productive work. This represents one of the more ambitious proposals for redistributing wealth in an AI-driven economy.
They emphasize that Plan A is a recommendation rather than a prediction. However, if Plan A were implemented, they consider the Citizen’s Dividend and broader redistribution effects to be a realistic and expected.
@society_economy